Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 96423.548660 101642.690880 106857.475169 112455.388211 118290.928441 124191.288879 130604.553924
2025-09-14 88164.649699 96176.252043 104400.972705 113464.962865 123162.722446 133216.650753 144416.898748
2025-09-21 81702.599329 91589.681076 101959.597166 113625.115569 126360.368188 139819.137650 155095.436110
2025-09-28 76701.531093 87980.649243 100025.042343 113807.909695 129106.788420 145530.607625 164457.544612
2025-10-05 73712.139196 86239.926482 99825.415809 115599.823863 133357.051338 152672.973038 175216.695784
2025-10-12 71017.017260 84584.795240 99503.663643 117053.511784 137057.850918 159073.383386 185055.963286
2025-10-19 68273.516742 82679.853024 98725.863007 117829.746354 139856.440731 164356.853625 193566.236138
2025-10-26 65471.944926 80543.693214 97535.770113 117995.333439 141838.839863 168623.478306 200856.516644
2025-11-02 63128.561677 78814.875345 96701.666291 118465.667229 144081.971400 173121.537864 208370.061136
2025-11-09 60729.213827 76904.751097 95551.655124 118469.377786 145699.387319 176836.258188 214938.881437
2025-11-16 59184.091365 75938.612507 95448.001566 119647.493045 148649.390909 182074.204508 223279.114350
2025-11-23 57078.360219 74205.127471 94348.940012 119565.000713 150044.177344 185445.064626 229403.248217
2025-11-30 55912.539860 73595.344086 94590.208865 121097.805469 153394.232664 191177.332641 238409.631183
2025-12-07 54546.934917 72685.825277 94424.240449 122103.586569 156092.570212 196137.624403 246526.842569
2025-12-14 52843.099948 71289.728496 93604.667192 122258.708977 157719.331372 199791.647385 253075.778984
2025-12-21 51260.788908 69989.508480 92852.081738 122449.444501 159352.737053 203431.692694 259604.189857
2025-12-28 50591.019159 69821.999034 93488.953456 124350.991611 163088.027535 209633.380879 269274.632567
2026-01-04 49797.726828 69461.574184 93855.669510 125893.820169 166370.123603 215288.901945 278306.821492
2026-01-11 48722.048647 68695.553640 93674.689174 126717.620899 168737.160417 219817.145044 285970.452295
2026-01-18 47412.877353 67581.209246 93010.633208 126893.346829 170264.553678 223295.422745 292341.515162
2026-01-25 46308.998801 66703.356372 92620.223229 127392.486986 172182.288077 227252.195022 299316.404113
2026-02-01 45045.908762 65574.947662 91870.092644 127396.424302 173445.970512 230379.415968 305258.696425
2026-02-08 44361.299624 65202.866512 92090.445819 128646.606208 176300.188459 235511.137825 313738.785974